Roy The Boy takes an early look at the 2018 Oscars and he likes the price about The Shape of Water.
Watertight Value in the Shape of Venice Debutant
The 90th Academy Awards, AKA ‘The Oscars’, may still be six months away but there is no harm in building your ante-post portfolio now while the market features around 40 candidates and plenty of no-hopers (check-out Wonder Woman).
One of the best early Oscar form indicators is the Venice Film Festival and last weekend it gave its main prize, a ‘Golden Lion’ (Best Picture award), to ‘The Shape of Water’.
The virtues of the film is nothing to be overly concerned with, it was clearly well regarded by an international judging panel and, to quote Wikipedia: “On Rotten Tomatoes the film has an approval rating of 100% based on 24 reviews, with an average rating of 8.8/10. On Metacritic the film has a weighted average score of 92 out of 100, based on 12 critics, indicating “universal acclaim”.
If that sounds pretty impressive it should because Best Picture Academy Award material has gone through the Venice Film Festival aplenty in recent years.
Birdman, the 2014 Best Picture Academy Award recipient premiered in Venice (as did ‘The Shape of Water’). Spotlight, the 2015 Best Picture Academy Award recipient, premiered in Venice (as did ‘The Shape of Water’).
At the 2016 awards, for about 20 seconds, due to Faye Dunaway and Warren Beatty being given the wrong envelope, La La Land was the winner of the Best Picture Academy Award. OK ultimately it did not get the award but it was the odds-on favourite and care to guess where this film premiered?
Admittedly the last Golden Lion winner to contend for the Best Movie Oscar was ‘The Wrestler’ back in 2008, but such is the popularity of ‘The Shape of Water’ and the growing trend of Oscar winning movies to premier and go on release long before the Oscars, some shrapnel thrown at Betfair’s 14/1 is surely warranted.
Best Film Oscar Winner: The Shape of Water at 10/1 with Betfair